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Trading Today - GDP, ECI, Univ. of Michigan, Kashkari
The Q2 GDP figures will be the highlight of the calendar in the U.S. today, but we will also get the Q2 Employment Cost Index and the final July University of Michigan data. Fed President Kashkari is also on the schedule as the blackout period surrounding this week's FOMC meeting ends.
Jul  28  
Trading Today

Fed Take: FOMC Holds Rates Steady, Balance Sheet 'Relatively Soon'
Key Take-Aways:
*As expected, FOMC maintained the fed funds rate target range at 1.00%-1.25%. Forward guidance still for "gradual increases" in rates, depending on data.
*Balance sheet normalization to begin "relatively soon", but specific timing not announced. The wording would suggest a September announcement is on the table.
*Little change in content of FOMC statement on jobs, inflation expectations. Language on inflation suggested slightly greater concern that lower readings will linger.
Jul  26  
Federal Reserve

Updated SOMA Projections and Operating Protocol Beyond Normalization
In this commentary we update the Fed's normalization schedule using the roll-off caps detailed in the Addendum to the Policy Normalization Principles and Plans. We also take a look at the prospects for policy implementation beyond normalization
Jul  25  
Federal Reserve Research

No Peace of Mind for Congress Ahead of Summer Vacation
The House of Representatives is scheduled to recess for summer vacation at the end of this week; the Senate will stay in session for two more weeks. Congress faces a long to-do list for September when it returns, including passing spending bills to avoid a government shutdown and increasing the debt limit.
Jul  25  
Commentaries

US Economic Chartbooks
Please see our Economic Week Ahead Chartbook for a discussion of next week's economic releases provided in a visually friendly format that includes graphs, brief descriptions of SMR's forecasts, and links to detailed data previews. If you missed anything from last week, see our Economic Week in Review Chartbook for a look back at the releases with links to full analyses.
Jul  21  


Latest Research HERE for Research Window
10:25Review--Q2 Advance GDP
09:10Q2-2017 Employment Cost Index, Consistent With Recent Trends
08:52Equity Market Technicals
08:43Quick Take: 2Qa Estimate GDP Up 2.6%
08:35Corporate Review - Supply, Spreads, & Activity For Thursday, July 27
08:30Repo Update - GC Dips as the Week Ends
08:15Fed’s SOMA Average Maturity and Duration (wk 7/26)
07:19Trading Today - GDP, ECI, Univ. of Michigan, Kashkari
05:55Fed Week for July 31: Look Who's Talking
27 JulWeekly Dealer Data: Bill Holdings Soar


Chart of the Day
Sales Tax Holidays Line Up in Early August
Sales Tax Holidays Line Up in Early August

Friday, 28 Jul
Employment Cost Index +0.5% Vs Prev's +0.8%
  GDP Annualized QoQ  2Qa  +2.6% Vs Prev's +1.2%r
  GDP Price Index  2Qa  +1.0% Vs Prev's +2.0%r
  University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment  fJul  93.4 Vs Prev's 93.1
  Fed's Kashkari speaks in Oakdale, Minnesota